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Third, tomorrow's A-share market inferenceTrend analysis of A shares on December 10, 2024 and market outlook for tomorrow.At present, the global macroeconomic environment is still complex and changeable. Although the domestic economy has generally maintained a stable recovery trend, it still faces many challenges in the context of the global economic slowdown. Although the tension of international trade has eased, uncertainty still exists, and the operating pressure of some export-oriented enterprises has not been fundamentally alleviated, which has affected the market's expectation of overall economic growth to a certain extent, and then reflected in the trend of A-share market. In addition, recent fluctuations in some macroeconomic data, such as marginal changes in manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI), have also made investors more cautious in judging the economic prospects, which has become one of the deep-seated reasons for the lack of market confidence and the downward trend of the index after opening higher in the morning.

(C) plate rotation and capital flow analysisOn December 10, 2024, the A-share market showed a remarkable feature of high opening and low going. At the opening of the morning session, affected by various factors, the three major indexes all opened sharply higher, which once brought more optimistic expectations to market participants. However, in the following trading hours, the market momentum could not be sustained, and the index gradually fluctuated downwards, and finally closed at a relatively low level. After the Shanghai Composite Index opened higher, the upward trend was blocked and the upper shadow line was longer, indicating that the upper pressure was obvious. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index also experienced the process of falling back after opening higher, and the volume of transactions was enlarged to a certain extent in the process of falling, reflecting that the long and short differences in the market were intensified in the trading process.The tightness of funds has a key impact on the trend of A-share market. Recently, the overall market liquidity is in a relatively stable but not loose state, and the entry speed of incremental funds is relatively slow. After opening higher in early trading, due to the lack of sufficient follow-up funds, it is difficult for the market to maintain a high increase. At the same time, investors' mood changed greatly in the process of opening higher and then going lower in the morning. When the market opened higher, the optimism of the market briefly warmed up, but with the decline of the index, pessimism gradually gained the upper hand, which further aggravated the selling pressure of the market and formed a vicious circle, making it difficult for the index to obtain effective support and rebound during the decline.

Considering the current situation of market segmentation today, tomorrow's plate rotation will play a key role in the market trend. Although the financial sector changed in early trading today, it failed to continuously lead the market to rise. If the financial sector, especially the banking and securities sector, can rise again tomorrow under the impetus of favorable policies or expected improvement of its own performance, it is expected to stabilize the market index and drive the market sentiment to rebound. For example, if there are positive signals such as the improvement of net interest margin and the improvement of asset quality in the banking sector, it will attract capital inflows and provide solid support for the upward movement of the index.The tightness of funds has a key impact on the trend of A-share market. Recently, the overall market liquidity is in a relatively stable but not loose state, and the entry speed of incremental funds is relatively slow. After opening higher in early trading, due to the lack of sufficient follow-up funds, it is difficult for the market to maintain a high increase. At the same time, investors' mood changed greatly in the process of opening higher and then going lower in the morning. When the market opened higher, the optimism of the market briefly warmed up, but with the decline of the index, pessimism gradually gained the upper hand, which further aggravated the selling pressure of the market and formed a vicious circle, making it difficult for the index to obtain effective support and rebound during the decline.Trend analysis of A shares on December 10, 2024 and market outlook for tomorrow.